Titanes de Querétaro vs Bucaneros de Matamoros

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Titanes de Querétaro

Bucaneros de Matamoros

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.9% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 15.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.50 DRAW 22.5% 4.00 AWAY 17.5% 5.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Titanes de Querétaro relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.9% win probability, compared with 60.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bucaneros de Matamoros

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Titanes de Querétaro Bucaneros de Matamoros

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Bucaneros de Matamoros, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Titanes de Querétaro Bucaneros de Matamoros

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.5

Titanes de Querétaro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Titanes de Querétaro Bucaneros de Matamoros

The combined recent performance profile favours Titanes de Querétaro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Titanes de Querétaro —

Bucaneros de Matamoros —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.