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Algeria Division 1 · DZ

ES Setif vs CR Temouchent

24 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for CR Temouchent. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced, although a smaller share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 8.36 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 8.43. At this price, an away win for CR Temouchent does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
ES Setif
STOCHASTICBET 61.4%
PINNACLE 62.5% odd 1.51
DIFFERENCE -1.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.7%
PINNACLE 26.3% odd 3.58
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
CR Temouchent
STOCHASTICBET 11.9%
PINNACLE 11.3% odd 8.36
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 19:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CR Temouchent

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
ES Setif CR Temouchent
Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours CR Temouchent, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
ES Setif CR Temouchent
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
ES Setif CR Temouchent

The combined recent performance profile favours CR Temouchent.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Algeria Division 1 · 79 matches with scores · 76 with shots · coverage 96.2%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

ES Setif6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DDWLLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
CR Temouchent6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DLLWLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
−0.89.0 actual
CR TemouchentAway team
+1.411.3 actual
ES Setif: 9.0 · league average 9.8 · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 11.3 · league average 10.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
+1.010.2 actual
CR TemouchentAway team
+1.910.8 actual
ES Setif: 10.2 · league average 9.2 · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 10.8 · league average 9.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
−0.43.8 actual
CR TemouchentAway team
+0.95.2 actual
ES Setif: 3.8 · league average 4.2 · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 5.2 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
+0.64.4 actual
CR TemouchentAway team
+1.85.5 actual
ES Setif: 4.4 · league average 3.9 · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 5.5 · league average 3.7 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
+0.091.33 actual
CR TemouchentAway team
−0.850.50 actual
ES Setif: 1.33 · league average 1.24 · 6 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 0.50 · league average 1.35 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
−0.0 pp13.3% actual
CR TemouchentAway team
−9.1 pp4.4% actual
ES Setif: 13.3% · league average 13.4% · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 4.4% · league average 13.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
ES SetifHome team
−4.9 pp7.8% actual
CR TemouchentAway team
−1.7 pp10.8% actual
ES Setif: 7.8% · league average 12.7% · 5 valid matchesCR Temouchent: 10.8% · league average 12.5% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

ES Setif · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
14/10/2026Home1–110 / 114 / 3
08/10/2026Away0–06 / 143 / 7
19/09/2026Home5–110 / 66 / 3
11/09/2026Away0–14 / 152 / 6
03/09/2026Home0–115 / 54 / 3
05/06/2026Away2–0——
CR Temouchent · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home1–120 / 46 / 1
14/10/2026Home0–216 / 138 / 8
09/10/2026Away0–16 / 183 / 9
17/09/2026Home1–012 / 65 / 3
11/09/2026Away0–25 / 184 / 10
05/09/2026Home1–19 / 65 / 2

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.