Sun Hei vs Wing Yee

27 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Sun Hei

Wing Yee

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.36 DRAW 24.0% 3.75 AWAY 37.9% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sun Hei clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.2% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sun Hei has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sun Hei Wing Yee

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Sun Hei, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sun Hei Wing Yee

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Sun Hei has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sun Hei Wing Yee

The combined recent performance profile favours Sun Hei.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sun Hei ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Wing Yee ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.