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CAF Confederations Cup ·

Real Bamako vs ES Zarzis

24 Oct 2026 · 18:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Real Bamako has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Real Bamako ES Zarzis
Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Real Bamako ES Zarzis
Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Real Bamako has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Real Bamako ES Zarzis

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Bamako.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: CAF Confederations Cup · 61 matches with scores · 44 with shots · coverage 72.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Real Bamako6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDWWWD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
ES Zarzis6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LWLLLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
−0.28.8 actual
ES ZarzisAway team
+0.49.7 actual
Real Bamako: 8.8 · league average 9.0 · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 9.7 · league average 9.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
−5.72.6 actual
ES ZarzisAway team
+1.910.0 actual
Real Bamako: 2.6 · league average 8.3 · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 10.0 · league average 8.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
+0.44.2 actual
ES ZarzisAway team
+0.14.0 actual
Real Bamako: 4.2 · league average 3.8 · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 4.0 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
−2.70.8 actual
ES ZarzisAway team
+1.14.5 actual
Real Bamako: 0.8 · league average 3.5 · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 4.5 · league average 3.4 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
+0.431.67 actual
ES ZarzisAway team
−0.091.17 actual
Real Bamako: 1.67 · league average 1.24 · 6 valid matchesES Zarzis: 1.17 · league average 1.26 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
+3.9 pp18.2% actual
ES ZarzisAway team
−2.0 pp12.1% actual
Real Bamako: 18.2% · league average 14.3% · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 12.1% · league average 14.1% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Real BamakoHome team
−7.4 pp7.7% actual
ES ZarzisAway team
−2.0 pp13.3% actual
Real Bamako: 7.7% · league average 15.1% · 5 valid matchesES Zarzis: 13.3% · league average 15.3% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Real Bamako · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away3–13 / 13 / 1
11/09/2026Home0–012 / 33 / 2
06/09/2026Away2–1——
13/06/2026Home4–018 / 49 / 0
09/06/2026Away1–01 / 01 / 0
05/06/2026Home0–010 / 55 / 1
ES Zarzis · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home1–31 / 31 / 3
11/10/2026Home2–013 / 56 / 3
20/09/2026Away0–110 / 182 / 7
16/09/2026Home1–29 / 125 / 7
12/09/2026Away0–111 / 132 / 5
04/09/2026Home3–114 / 98 / 2

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.