SONIO Takamatsu vs FC Tokushima

27 Sep 2026 · 06:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.3 pp

SONIO Takamatsu

FC Tokushima

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.30 DRAW 23.8% 3.90 AWAY 35.8% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SONIO Takamatsu clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.7% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SONIO Takamatsu has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SONIO Takamatsu FC Tokushima

Shots 19.0 · On target 10.3 Shots 18.0 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SONIO Takamatsu FC Tokushima

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5

SONIO Takamatsu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SONIO Takamatsu FC Tokushima

The combined recent performance profile favours SONIO Takamatsu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SONIO Takamatsu ↑ +0.39 (+20.5%)

FC Tokushima ↓ -0.30 (-10.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.