Mixto EC (W) vs Sociedade Acao (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

Mixto EC (W)

Sociedade Acao (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.67 DRAW 23.6% 3.80 AWAY 22.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sociedade Acao (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.4% win probability, compared with 22.5% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sociedade Acao (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mixto EC (W) Sociedade Acao (W)

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Sociedade Acao (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mixto EC (W) Sociedade Acao (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Sociedade Acao (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mixto EC (W) Sociedade Acao (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Sociedade Acao (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mixto EC (W) = (0.0%)

Sociedade Acao (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.