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Georgia Cup · GE

Dinamo Batumi vs Dila Gori

28 Oct 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Dinamo Batumi. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.50 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.57. At this price, a home win for Dinamo Batumi does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Dinamo Batumi
STOCHASTICBET 63.8%
BET365 59.4% odd 1.50
DIFFERENCE +4.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.4%
BET365 22.8% odd 3.90
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
AWAY
Dila Gori
STOCHASTICBET 14.8%
BET365 17.8% odd 5.00
DIFFERENCE -3.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 14:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Dinamo Batumi

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Dinamo Batumi Dila Gori
Shots 13.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Batumi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Dinamo Batumi Dila Gori
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Dinamo Batumi Dila Gori

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Batumi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 15:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.88 pp
DRAW — -0.76 pp
AWAY — -0.12 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +11.11 pp
DRAW — -3.42 pp
AWAY — -7.69 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Georgia Cup · 49 matches with scores · 34 with shots · coverage 69.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Dinamo Batumi6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WWWWDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Dila Gori6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LLLWLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
+3.413.0 actual
Dila GoriAway team
−3.27.7 actual
Dinamo Batumi: 13.0 · league average 9.6 · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 7.7 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
−0.410.5 actual
Dila GoriAway team
+2.612.2 actual
Dinamo Batumi: 10.5 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 12.2 · league average 9.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
+2.06.3 actual
Dila GoriAway team
−1.14.2 actual
Dinamo Batumi: 6.3 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 4.2 · league average 5.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
−0.44.8 actual
Dila GoriAway team
+1.45.7 actual
Dinamo Batumi: 4.8 · league average 5.3 · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 5.7 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
+0.792.33 actual
Dila GoriAway team
−0.251.50 actual
Dinamo Batumi: 2.33 · league average 1.54 · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 1.50 · league average 1.75 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
+2.9 pp18.0% actual
Dila GoriAway team
+3.7 pp19.6% actual
Dinamo Batumi: 18.0% · league average 15.1% · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 19.6% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Dinamo BatumiHome team
−8.0 pp7.9% actual
Dila GoriAway team
+1.4 pp16.4% actual
Dinamo Batumi: 7.9% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matchesDila Gori: 16.4% · league average 15.1% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Dinamo Batumi · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Home3–019 / 136 / 5
17/10/2026Away3–19 / 76 / 4
11/10/2026Home1–012 / 148 / 8
20/09/2026Home3–215 / 96 / 7
13/09/2026Away2–210 / 115 / 4
09/09/2026Home2–013 / 97 / 1
Dila Gori · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away1–24 / 143 / 7
19/10/2026Home0–24 / 72 / 3
10/10/2026Away1–39 / 124 / 7
21/09/2026Away4–19 / 117 / 4
17/09/2026Away1–29 / 195 / 8
13/09/2026Home2–211 / 104 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.