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Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · AR

CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserves

27 Oct 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.67 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.78. At this price, a home win for CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 56.2%
BET365 54.1% odd 1.67
DIFFERENCE +2.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.7%
BET365 25.1% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY
CA Aldosivi Reserves
STOCHASTICBET 19.1%
BET365 20.8% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 18:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves
Shots 10.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

CA Aldosivi Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 19:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +1.23 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -1.19 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY -0.03 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · 387 matches with scores · 379 with shots · coverage 97.9%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WWLWDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
CA Aldosivi Reserves6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WDWLLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
+2.310.7 actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−1.47.5 actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 10.7 · league average 8.4 · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 7.5 · league average 8.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
+0.69.5 actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−0.18.3 actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 9.5 · league average 8.9 · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 8.3 · league average 8.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
+1.95.5 actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−1.22.7 actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 5.5 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 2.7 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
+0.34.2 actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−0.13.5 actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 4.2 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 3.5 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
+0.151.33 actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−0.271.00 actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 1.33 · league average 1.18 · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 1.00 · league average 1.27 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
−1.4 pp12.5% actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
−0.9 pp13.3% actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 12.5% · league average 13.9% · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 13.3% · league average 14.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CA Talleres de Córdoba ReservesHome team
−5.5 pp8.8% actual
CA Aldosivi ReservesAway team
+0.1 pp14.0% actual
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves: 8.8% · league average 14.2% · 6 valid matchesCA Aldosivi Reserves: 14.0% · league average 13.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Away1–07 / 34 / 2
15/10/2026Home3–012 / 119 / 4
08/10/2026Away0–21 / 111 / 7
01/10/2026Home3–123 / 1212 / 6
24/09/2026Away1–19 / 72 / 2
16/09/2026Away0–112 / 135 / 4
CA Aldosivi Reserves · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
20/10/2026Home2–15 / 42 / 2
14/10/2026Away1–16 / 72 / 4
07/10/2026Home1–06 / 91 / 0
29/09/2026Away2–39 / 83 / 4
23/09/2026Home0–113 / 116 / 4
15/09/2026Home0–16 / 112 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.