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Czechia 3. Liga · CZ

Kraluv Dvur vs Sparta Prague B

28 Oct 2026 · 14:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Sparta Prague B. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.39 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.57. At this price, an away win for Sparta Prague B does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Kraluv Dvur
STOCHASTICBET 39.9%
PINNACLE 40.5% odd 2.26
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.1%
PINNACLE 21.2% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Sparta Prague B
STOCHASTICBET 39.0%
PINNACLE 38.3% odd 2.39
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 14:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Kraluv Dvur

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kraluv Dvur Sparta Prague B
Shots 12.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Kraluv Dvur, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kraluv Dvur Sparta Prague B
Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Sparta Prague B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kraluv Dvur Sparta Prague B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Czechia 3. Liga · 510 matches with scores · 461 with shots · coverage 90.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Kraluv Dvur6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DWWWWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Sparta Prague B6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LDWWWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
−0.110.2 actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
+3.814.0 actual
Kraluv Dvur: 10.2 · league average 10.3 · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 14.0 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+0.911.0 actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
−1.98.3 actual
Kraluv Dvur: 11.0 · league average 10.1 · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 8.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+1.96.6 actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
+2.06.7 actual
Kraluv Dvur: 6.6 · league average 4.7 · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 6.7 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+1.46.0 actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
−1.23.5 actual
Kraluv Dvur: 6.0 · league average 4.6 · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 3.5 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+0.942.67 actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
+0.151.83 actual
Kraluv Dvur: 2.67 · league average 1.73 · 6 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 1.83 · league average 1.68 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+14.9 pp31.4% actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
−3.3 pp13.1% actual
Kraluv Dvur: 31.4% · league average 16.5% · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 13.1% · league average 16.4% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kraluv DvurHome team
+1.8 pp18.2% actual
Sparta Prague BAway team
−8.4 pp8.0% actual
Kraluv Dvur: 18.2% · league average 16.3% · 5 valid matchesSparta Prague B: 8.0% · league average 16.4% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Kraluv Dvur · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Home3–37 / 134 / 9
17/10/2026Away4–314 / 167 / 9
10/10/2026Home4–114 / 911 / 4
26/09/2026Away3–213 / 168 / 7
19/09/2026Home2–13 / 13 / 1
16/09/2026Home0–3——
Sparta Prague B · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Home0–114 / 116 / 7
17/10/2026Away1–11 / 11 / 1
11/10/2026Home2–115 / 1210 / 4
19/09/2026Away4–09 / 65 / 3
13/09/2026Home4–131 / 914 / 2
06/09/2026Away0–014 / 114 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.