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Republic of Ireland Premier Division · IE

Derry City vs St Patricks

19 Oct 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Shooting Performance in Focus

Across 6 and 6 recent matches with recorded scores, respectively, the home side won 4 and the visitors won 3.

For the visitors, finishing was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (16.7% versus 33.3% in the earlier complete-data matches); for the visitors, accuracy was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (28.6% versus 43.8% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Across 4 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 17.2 shots per match and conceded 4 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 15.0 shots per match and conceded 5 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.67 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.41. The visitors averaged 1.50 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.48.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

St Patricks has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Derry City St Patricks
Shots 15.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours St Patricks, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Derry City St Patricks
Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.3

St Patricks has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Derry City St Patricks

The combined recent performance profile favours St Patricks.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 110 matches with scores · 110 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Derry City6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LWWDWW
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
St Patricks6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LWWWDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
+4.317.3 actual
St PatricksAway team
+1.315.0 actual
Derry City: 17.3 · league average 13.0 · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 15.0 · league average 13.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
−3.610.3 actual
St PatricksAway team
−2.410.7 actual
Derry City: 10.3 · league average 13.8 · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 10.7 · league average 13.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
+0.24.3 actual
St PatricksAway team
+1.05.5 actual
Derry City: 4.3 · league average 4.1 · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 5.5 · league average 4.5 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
−1.43.3 actual
St PatricksAway team
−0.73.5 actual
Derry City: 3.3 · league average 4.6 · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 3.5 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
+0.261.67 actual
St PatricksAway team
+0.021.50 actual
Derry City: 1.67 · league average 1.41 · 6 valid matchesSt Patricks: 1.50 · league average 1.48 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
−4.9 pp5.8% actual
St PatricksAway team
−0.8 pp10.0% actual
Derry City: 5.8% · league average 10.7% · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 10.0% · league average 10.8% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Derry CityHome team
−1.1 pp9.8% actual
St PatricksAway team
−2.9 pp7.8% actual
Derry City: 9.8% · league average 10.8% · 4 valid matchesSt Patricks: 7.8% · league average 10.8% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Derry City · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Away0–227 / 45 / 2
10/10/2026Away2–0——
18/09/2026Home1–010 / 103 / 1
14/09/2026Away2–213 / 173 / 8
11/09/2026Away1–019 / 106 / 2
06/09/2026Home4–2——
St Patricks · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home1–224 / 105 / 2
19/09/2026Away1–018 / 57 / 3
14/09/2026Away4–015 / 78 / 1
11/09/2026Home2–010 / 95 / 3
05/09/2026Home1–18 / 122 / 5
28/08/2026Home0–215 / 216 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.