South Asian Championship ·

Sri Lanka vs Bhutan

08 Nov 2026 · 15:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Sri Lanka. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.19 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.30. At this price, a home win for Sri Lanka does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Sri Lanka

STOCHASTICBET 77.1%

PINNACLE 73.8% odd 1.19

DIFFERENCE +3.3 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 15.0%

PINNACLE 16.3% odd 5.37

DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp

AWAY

Bhutan

STOCHASTICBET 8.0%

PINNACLE 10.0% odd 8.78

DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Sri Lanka

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sri Lanka Bhutan

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 1.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sri Lanka, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sri Lanka Bhutan

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Bhutan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sri Lanka Bhutan

The combined recent performance profile favours Sri Lanka.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.