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Czechia Cup · CZ

SK Prostejov vs Hradec Kralove

28 Oct 2026 · 12:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Hradec Kralove. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.43 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.50. At this price, an away win for Hradec Kralove does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
SK Prostejov
STOCHASTICBET 13.3%
PINNACLE 15.0% odd 6.11
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 20.1%
PINNACLE 21.0% odd 4.35
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Hradec Kralove
STOCHASTICBET 66.6%
PINNACLE 64.0% odd 1.43
DIFFERENCE +2.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 16:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Hradec Kralove has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
SK Prostejov Hradec Kralove
Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Hradec Kralove, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SK Prostejov Hradec Kralove
Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Hradec Kralove has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SK Prostejov Hradec Kralove

The combined recent performance profile favours Hradec Kralove.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp -0.99 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.25 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.74 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Czechia Cup · 145 matches with scores · 105 with shots · coverage 72.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SK Prostejov6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LDDWDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Hradec Kralove6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LDLLWW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
−3.88.5 actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
+0.010.8 actual
SK Prostejov: 8.5 · league average 12.3 · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 10.8 · league average 10.8 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
+3.614.0 actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
+0.712.6 actual
SK Prostejov: 14.0 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 12.6 · league average 11.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
−1.74.0 actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
−0.74.2 actual
SK Prostejov: 4.0 · league average 5.7 · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 4.2 · league average 4.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
+1.36.0 actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
−0.94.6 actual
SK Prostejov: 6.0 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 4.6 · league average 5.5 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
−0.641.50 actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
−0.741.17 actual
SK Prostejov: 1.50 · league average 2.14 · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 1.17 · league average 1.91 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
+0.9 pp17.7% actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
−6.8 pp9.3% actual
SK Prostejov: 17.7% · league average 16.8% · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 9.3% · league average 16.1% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK ProstejovHome team
−1.6 pp14.3% actual
Hradec KraloveAway team
−2.3 pp14.3% actual
SK Prostejov: 14.3% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matchesHradec Kralove: 14.3% · league average 16.6% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

SK Prostejov · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Away1–56 / 202 / 10
16/10/2026Home2–28 / 225 / 10
09/10/2026Away2–24 / 92 / 3
02/10/2026Away2–17 / 93 / 5
18/09/2026Home2–213 / 144 / 6
12/09/2026Away0–013 / 108 / 2
Hradec Kralove · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Home1–217 / 146 / 7
17/10/2026Away0–09 / 192 / 2
10/10/2026Home2–410 / 164 / 8
20/09/2026Home0–29 / 44 / 3
16/09/2026Away2–1——
13/09/2026Away2–19 / 105 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.