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Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup · BA

FK Laktasi vs Zrinjski Mostar

27 Oct 2026 · 18:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for FK Laktasi. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 6.00 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 5.34. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for FK Laktasi, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
FK Laktasi
STOCHASTICBET 18.7%
BET365 15.0% odd 6.00
DIFFERENCE +3.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 20.3%
BET365 19.0% odd 4.75
DIFFERENCE +1.3 pp
AWAY
Zrinjski Mostar
STOCHASTICBET 61.0%
BET365 66.0% odd 1.36
DIFFERENCE -5.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 12:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FK Laktasi

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Laktasi Zrinjski Mostar
Shots 14.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Laktasi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Laktasi Zrinjski Mostar
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Laktasi Zrinjski Mostar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 14:43:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup · 2 matches with scores · 2 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

FK Laktasi6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWLWLW
Shot data available for 3/6 matches
Zrinjski Mostar6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWWDW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
+2.583.33 actual
Zrinjski MostarAway team
+1.422.17 actual
FK Laktasi: 3.33 · league average 0.75 · 6 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: 2.17 · league average 0.75 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK LaktasiHome team
—Insufficient data
Zrinjski MostarAway team
—Insufficient data
FK Laktasi: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesZrinjski Mostar: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

FK Laktasi · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away8–1——
21/10/2026Home4–24 / 24 / 2
17/10/2026Away0–1——
10/10/2026Home4–023 / 1212 / 0
03/10/2026Away1–2——
26/09/2026Home3–015 / 129 / 4
Zrinjski Mostar · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
23/10/2026Home1–09 / 82 / 3
18/10/2026Away3–010 / 96 / 2
11/10/2026Away6–213 / 79 / 2
27/09/2026Away1–010 / 104 / 6
26/09/2026Home0–0——
19/09/2026Home2–09 / 56 / 1

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.