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Spain Copa del Rey · ES

Sporting Hortaleza vs Sevilla

29 Oct 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Sporting Hortaleza. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 51.00 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 34.11. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Sporting Hortaleza, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Sporting Hortaleza
STOCHASTICBET 2.9%
BET365 1.9% odd 51.00
DIFFERENCE +1.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 5.2%
BET365 4.5% odd 21.00
DIFFERENCE +0.7 pp
AWAY
Sevilla
STOCHASTICBET 91.8%
BET365 93.6% odd 1.02
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 29 Oct 2026 · 20:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Sevilla

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sporting Hortaleza Sevilla
Shots 4.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Sevilla, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sporting Hortaleza Sevilla
Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Sporting Hortaleza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sporting Hortaleza Sevilla

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting Hortaleza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-29 20:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.03 pp
DRAW — -1.71 pp
AWAY — +1.67 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.01 pp
DRAW — +0.02 pp
AWAY — -0.03 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.