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Israel Cup · IL

Hapoel Raanana vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

28 Oct 2026 · 18:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 4.79 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 5.15. At this price, an away win for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Hapoel Raanana
STOCHASTICBET 58.9%
PINNACLE 59.6% odd 1.52
DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.7%
PINNACLE 21.5% odd 4.20
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
STOCHASTICBET 19.4%
PINNACLE 18.9% odd 4.79
DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 16:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Hapoel Raanana Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Hapoel Raanana Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Hapoel Raanana Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 17:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.