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Israel Cup · IL

Hapoel Akko vs Sport Club Tira

26 Oct 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Sport Club Tira. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have struggled to obtain positive results. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced, although a smaller share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.50 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.49. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for Sport Club Tira, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Hapoel Akko
STOCHASTICBET 31.5%
BET365 36.1% odd 2.50
DIFFERENCE -4.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 28.3%
BET365 27.8% odd 3.25
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Sport Club Tira
STOCHASTICBET 40.1%
BET365 36.1% odd 2.50
DIFFERENCE +4.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 26 Oct 2026 · 01:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Sport Club Tira has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Hapoel Akko Sport Club Tira
Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Sport Club Tira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Hapoel Akko Sport Club Tira
Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Sport Club Tira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Hapoel Akko Sport Club Tira

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Club Tira.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-26 02:33:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Israel Cup · 31 matches with scores · 12 with shots · coverage 38.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Hapoel Akko6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Sport Club Tira6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWWDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
−1.560.00 actual
Sport Club TiraAway team
+0.111.67 actual
Hapoel Akko: 0.00 · league average 1.56 · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: 1.67 · league average 1.56 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Hapoel AkkoHome team
—Insufficient data
Sport Club TiraAway team
—Insufficient data
Hapoel Akko: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesSport Club Tira: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Hapoel Akko · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
23/10/2026Home0–15 / 112 / 6
19/10/2026Away0–412 / 134 / 8
13/10/2026Away0–18 / 371 / 9
09/10/2026Home0–06 / 93 / 2
01/10/2026Away0–17 / 73 / 4
24/09/2026Home0–36 / 142 / 4
Sport Club Tira · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
22/10/2026Home2–015 / 105 / 4
18/10/2026Away1–012 / 215 / 7
08/10/2026Home2–111 / 165 / 4
30/09/2026Away3–215 / 137 / 4
23/09/2026Home1–112 / 152 / 5
18/09/2026Away1–110 / 95 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.