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Israel Cup · IL

Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

28 Oct 2026 · 18:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Ironi Nesher. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.74 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.85. At this price, a home win for Ironi Nesher does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Ironi Nesher
STOCHASTICBET 54.1%
PINNACLE 51.2% odd 1.74
DIFFERENCE +2.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.9%
PINNACLE 24.5% odd 3.63
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
STOCHASTICBET 22.0%
PINNACLE 24.3% odd 3.65
DIFFERENCE -2.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 16:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Ironi Nesher has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ironi Nesher Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Nesher, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ironi Nesher Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Ironi Nesher has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ironi Nesher Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Nesher.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 17:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.