← Match Center
Kenya Premier League · KE

Bandari FC vs 3K FC

19 Oct 2026 · 15:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

The Visitors’ Recent Results

The visitors have drawn their last 2 matches.

Across 4 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 7.5 shots per match and conceded 2 goals in that sample. Across 3 such matches, the visitors averaged 10.0 shots per match and conceded 3 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.33 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.01. The visitors averaged 1.50 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.03.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns a home win for Bandari FC. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 51.3%, compared with 49.7% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +1.6 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.80 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.95. At this price, a home win for Bandari FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Bandari FC
STOCHASTICBET 51.3%
BET365 49.7% odd 1.80
DIFFERENCE +1.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 28.1%
BET365 28.0% odd 3.20
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY
3K FC
STOCHASTICBET 20.6%
BET365 22.4% odd 4.00
DIFFERENCE -1.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 18 Oct 2026 · 11:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: 3K FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bandari FC 3K FC
Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bandari FC 3K FC
Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Bandari FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bandari FC 3K FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 08:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Kenya Premier League · 71 matches with scores · 58 with shots · coverage 81.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Bandari FC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWWLWL
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
3K FC6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DDWWDD
Shot data available for 3/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−1.57.5 actual
3K FCAway team
+0.710.0 actual
Bandari FC: 7.5 · league average 9.0 · 4 valid matches3K FC: 10.0 · league average 9.3 · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−2.07.0 actual
3K FCAway team
+6.415.0 actual
Bandari FC: 7.0 · league average 9.0 · 4 valid matches3K FC: 15.0 · league average 8.6 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−0.52.8 actual
3K FCAway team
−1.12.3 actual
Bandari FC: 2.8 · league average 3.3 · 4 valid matches3K FC: 2.3 · league average 3.4 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−0.82.5 actual
3K FCAway team
+0.94.0 actual
Bandari FC: 2.5 · league average 3.3 · 4 valid matches3K FC: 4.0 · league average 3.1 · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
+0.321.33 actual
3K FCAway team
+0.471.50 actual
Bandari FC: 1.33 · league average 1.01 · 6 valid matches3K FC: 1.50 · league average 1.03 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−1.4 pp10.0% actual
3K FCAway team
−1.3 pp10.0% actual
Bandari FC: 10.0% · league average 11.4% · 4 valid matches3K FC: 10.0% · league average 11.3% · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bandari FCHome team
−4.2 pp7.1% actual
3K FCAway team
−4.8 pp6.7% actual
Bandari FC: 7.1% · league average 11.4% · 4 valid matches3K FC: 6.7% · league average 11.4% · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Bandari FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
14/10/2026Away0–07 / 103 / 1
02/09/2026Home5–0——
14/06/2026Away2–02 / 02 / 0
31/05/2026Away0–1——
24/05/2026Home1–013 / 64 / 2
20/05/2026Home0–28 / 122 / 7
3K FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
11/10/2026Home2–214 / 134 / 4
13/06/2026Home1–14 / 141 / 4
07/06/2026Away3–0——
01/06/2026Home3–2——
27/05/2026Away0–012 / 182 / 4
23/05/2026Home0–0——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.