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Israel Leumit Liga · IL

Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Akko

09 Nov 2026 · 18:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Hapoel Akko. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.95 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.14. At this price, an away win for Hapoel Akko does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Ironi Modiin
STOCHASTICBET 37.2%
PINNACLE 37.7% odd 2.45
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 31.0%
PINNACLE 31.1% odd 2.97
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Hapoel Akko
STOCHASTICBET 31.8%
PINNACLE 31.3% odd 2.95
DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Hapoel Akko has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ironi Modiin Hapoel Akko
Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ironi Modiin Hapoel Akko
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ironi Modiin Hapoel Akko

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -1.94 pp -4.37 pp
DRAW +0.87 pp +0.89 pp
AWAY +1.07 pp +3.49 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -4.72 pp -7.64 pp
DRAW +3.10 pp +2.02 pp
AWAY +1.62 pp +5.62 pp

Market Agreement: HOME DOWN · DRAW UP

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.