← Match Center
Israel Leumit Liga · IL

SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Afula

09 Nov 2026 · 18:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for SC Kfar Qasim. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.31 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.30. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for SC Kfar Qasim, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
SC Kfar Qasim
STOCHASTICBET 43.5%
PINNACLE 40.0% odd 2.31
DIFFERENCE +3.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.8%
PINNACLE 27.1% odd 3.41
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY
Hapoel Afula
STOCHASTICBET 29.7%
PINNACLE 33.0% odd 2.80
DIFFERENCE -3.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 08:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: SC Kfar Qasim

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
SC Kfar Qasim Hapoel Afula
Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours SC Kfar Qasim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SC Kfar Qasim Hapoel Afula
Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SC Kfar Qasim Hapoel Afula

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Kfar Qasim.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.14 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.34 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY -0.20 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.23 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.04 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY -0.19 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.