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Georgia Erovnuli Liga · GE

FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Gagra

09 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for FC Gagra. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 5.65 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 6.12. At this price, an away win for FC Gagra does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
FC Iberia 1999
STOCHASTICBET 60.1%
PINNACLE 60.1% odd 1.53
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.5%
PINNACLE 23.6% odd 3.91
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
FC Gagra
STOCHASTICBET 16.3%
PINNACLE 16.3% odd 5.65
DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FC Gagra

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Iberia 1999 FC Gagra
Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Gagra, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Iberia 1999 FC Gagra
Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Iberia 1999 FC Gagra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -2.63 pp -0.82 pp
DRAW +1.39 pp +0.71 pp
AWAY +1.24 pp +0.12 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -2.82 pp
DRAW — +1.30 pp
AWAY — +1.52 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.