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Thailand League Women · TH

Kasem Bundit University (W) vs BRU Burirat Academy (W)

19 Oct 2026 · 11:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

A Recent Meeting and Recent Form

The teams met on 24 May 2026, when the current home side won (4–1 from the upcoming home side’s perspective). The current home side recorded 16 shots (8 on target), compared with 4 (2 on target) for the visitors.

The visitors have won their last 2 matches.

Across 4 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 13.0 shots per match and conceded 4 goals in that sample. Across 3 such matches, the visitors averaged 7.3 shots per match and conceded 4 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 2.75 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 2.71. The visitors averaged 1.67 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 2.07.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns a home win for Kasem Bundit University (W). StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 67.3%, compared with 59.5% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +7.7 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.50 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.49. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Kasem Bundit University (W), although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Kasem Bundit University (W)
STOCHASTICBET 67.3%
BET365 59.5% odd 1.50
DIFFERENCE +7.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 18.1%
BET365 20.6% odd 4.33
DIFFERENCE -2.5 pp
AWAY
BRU Burirat Academy (W)
STOCHASTICBET 14.6%
BET365 19.8% odd 4.50
DIFFERENCE -5.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 18 Oct 2026 · 20:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Kasem Bundit University (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kasem Bundit University (W) BRU Burirat Academy (W)
Shots 13.0 · On target 8.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Kasem Bundit University (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kasem Bundit University (W) BRU Burirat Academy (W)
Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kasem Bundit University (W) BRU Burirat Academy (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Kasem Bundit University (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 08:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Thailand League Women · 14 matches with scores · 14 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Kasem Bundit University (W)4 matches · 4 home / 0 away
LWWW
Shot data available for 4/4 matches
BRU Burirat Academy (W)3 matches · 2 home / 1 away
WWL
Shot data available for 3/3 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
+0.042.75 actual
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
−0.401.67 actual
Kasem Bundit University (W): 2.75 · league average 2.71 · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): 1.67 · league average 2.07 · 3 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kasem Bundit University (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
BRU Burirat Academy (W)Away team
—Insufficient data
Kasem Bundit University (W): — · league average — · 4 valid matchesBRU Burirat Academy (W): — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Kasem Bundit University (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
20/06/2026Home1–26 / 95 / 4
30/05/2026Home3–113 / 1511 / 5
24/05/2026Home4–116 / 48 / 2
23/04/2026Home3–017 / 1211 / 5
BRU Burirat Academy (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
28/06/2026Home2–06 / 124 / 4
21/06/2026Home2–012 / 185 / 8
24/05/2026Away1–44 / 162 / 8

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.