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Bolivia Liga Nacional U19 · BO

Real Potosi U19 vs GV San Jose U19

19 Oct 2026 · 15:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

A Recent Meeting and Recent Form

The teams met on 16 August 2026, when the current visitors won (1–4 from the upcoming home side’s perspective). The current home side recorded 14 shots (6 on target), compared with 18 (11 on target) for the visitors.

The home side have lost their last 3 matches.

For the visitors, accuracy was higher in the latest two complete-data matches (58.3% versus 34.4% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Across 6 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 10.8 shots per match and conceded 18 goals in that sample. Across 4 such matches, the visitors averaged 14.0 shots per match and conceded 6 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.00 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.59. The visitors averaged 2.25 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.68.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns an away win for GV San Jose U19. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 41.1%, compared with 39.0% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +2.1 percentage points).

Across recent matches with recorded shooting data, Real Potosi U19 averaged 10.8 shots per match and GV San Jose U19 averaged 14.0. The visitors' higher shooting volume offers some support for the model-market difference.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.30 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.43. At this price, an away win for GV San Jose U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Real Potosi U19
STOCHASTICBET 37.4%
BET365 39.0% odd 2.30
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.5%
BET365 21.9% odd 4.10
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
GV San Jose U19
STOCHASTICBET 41.1%
BET365 39.0% odd 2.30
DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 18 Oct 2026 · 21:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: GV San Jose U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Real Potosi U19 GV San Jose U19
Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours GV San Jose U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Real Potosi U19 GV San Jose U19
Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0

GV San Jose U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Real Potosi U19 GV San Jose U19

The combined recent performance profile favours GV San Jose U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 08:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Bolivia Liga Nacional U19 · 58 matches with scores · 58 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Real Potosi U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLWLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
GV San Jose U194 matches · 3 home / 1 away
LWDW
Shot data available for 4/4 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
−1.810.8 actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
+0.814.0 actual
Real Potosi U19: 10.8 · league average 12.7 · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 14.0 · league average 13.2 · 4 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
+2.815.5 actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
+2.815.0 actual
Real Potosi U19: 15.5 · league average 12.7 · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 15.0 · league average 12.2 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
−2.43.5 actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
+0.16.3 actual
Real Potosi U19: 3.5 · league average 5.9 · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 6.3 · league average 6.1 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
+3.08.8 actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
−0.65.0 actual
Real Potosi U19: 8.8 · league average 5.9 · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 5.0 · league average 5.6 · 4 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
−0.591.00 actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
+0.572.25 actual
Real Potosi U19: 1.00 · league average 1.59 · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 2.25 · league average 1.68 · 4 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
−3.4 pp9.2% actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
+3.3 pp16.1% actual
Real Potosi U19: 9.2% · league average 12.6% · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 16.1% · league average 12.7% · 4 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Real Potosi U19Home team
+6.8 pp19.4% actual
GV San Jose U19Away team
−2.4 pp10.0% actual
Real Potosi U19: 19.4% · league average 12.6% · 6 valid matchesGV San Jose U19: 10.0% · league average 12.4% · 4 valid matches

Individual match details

Real Potosi U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
05/10/2026Home1–517 / 194 / 12
16/08/2026Away1–414 / 186 / 11
10/08/2026Away1–214 / 222 / 7
31/07/2026Home2–12 / 12 / 1
27/07/2026Home0–410 / 244 / 17
18/07/2026Away1–28 / 93 / 5
GV San Jose U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
31/08/2026Home1–26 / 123 / 4
16/08/2026Home4–118 / 1411 / 6
10/08/2026Away2–211 / 183 / 7
11/07/2026Home2–121 / 168 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.