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Zanzibar Premier League · ZW

Zimamoto SC vs Raskazone FC

19 Oct 2026 · 15:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Match Performance

Across 6 and 3 recent matches with recorded scores, respectively, the home side won 4 and the visitors won 1.

Across 6 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 8.2 shots per match and conceded 4 goals in that sample. Across 3 such matches, the visitors averaged 7.7 shots per match and conceded 2 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.50 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.24. The visitors averaged 0.67 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.02.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns a home win for Zimamoto SC. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 66.0%, compared with 65.6% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +0.4 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.36 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.52. At this price, a home win for Zimamoto SC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Zimamoto SC
STOCHASTICBET 66.0%
BET365 65.6% odd 1.36
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.1%
BET365 23.9% odd 3.75
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY
Raskazone FC
STOCHASTICBET 9.9%
BET365 10.5% odd 8.50
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 19 Oct 2026 · 11:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Zimamoto SC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Zimamoto SC Raskazone FC
Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Zimamoto SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Zimamoto SC Raskazone FC
Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Zimamoto SC Raskazone FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 12:23:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Zanzibar Premier League · 82 matches with scores · 75 with shots · coverage 91.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Zimamoto SC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LWDWWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Raskazone FC3 matches · 0 home / 3 away
LWL
Shot data available for 3/3 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
−0.98.2 actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−0.57.7 actual
Zimamoto SC: 8.2 · league average 9.1 · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 7.7 · league average 8.2 · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
−3.25.8 actual
Raskazone FCAway team
+1.111.0 actual
Zimamoto SC: 5.8 · league average 9.1 · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 11.0 · league average 9.9 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
−0.13.5 actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−1.22.0 actual
Zimamoto SC: 3.5 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 2.0 · league average 3.2 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
−1.52.2 actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−1.13.0 actual
Zimamoto SC: 2.2 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 3.0 · league average 4.1 · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
+0.261.50 actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−0.350.67 actual
Zimamoto SC: 1.50 · league average 1.24 · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 0.67 · league average 1.02 · 3 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
+4.8 pp18.4% actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−3.5 pp8.7% actual
Zimamoto SC: 18.4% · league average 13.6% · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 8.7% · league average 12.2% · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Zimamoto SCHome team
−2.2 pp11.4% actual
Raskazone FCAway team
−8.7 pp6.1% actual
Zimamoto SC: 11.4% · league average 13.6% · 6 valid matchesRaskazone FC: 6.1% · league average 14.8% · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Zimamoto SC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
09/10/2026Away0–112 / 113 / 5
23/09/2026Away2–18 / 62 / 1
16/09/2026Away1–11 / 31 / 1
11/09/2026Home2–05 / 73 / 3
30/08/2026Home2–112 / 53 / 2
12/06/2026Home2–011 / 39 / 1
Raskazone FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
12/10/2026Away0–13 / 72 / 3
02/10/2026Away2–011 / 172 / 3
24/09/2026Away0–19 / 92 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.