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UEFA Youth League · EU

Roma U19 vs Slovan Bratislava U19

20 Oct 2026 · 14:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Shooting Performance in Focus

Available recent match results are insufficient for a reliable comparison of form.

For the visitors, finishing was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (16.7% versus 33.3% in the earlier complete-data matches); for the visitors, accuracy was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (35.3% versus 50.0% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Away scoring averaged 1.50 goals per recent scored match against a weighted league reference of 1.83.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns an away win for Slovan Bratislava U19. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 11.1%, compared with 8.2% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +2.8 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 11.00 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 9.02. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for Slovan Bratislava U19, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Roma U19
STOCHASTICBET 73.9%
BET365 77.8% odd 1.17
DIFFERENCE -3.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 15.0%
BET365 14.0% odd 6.50
DIFFERENCE +1.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Slovan Bratislava U19
STOCHASTICBET 11.1%
BET365 8.2% odd 11.00
DIFFERENCE +2.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 19 Oct 2026 · 17:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Slovan Bratislava U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Roma U19 Slovan Bratislava U19
Shots 2.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Slovan Bratislava U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Roma U19 Slovan Bratislava U19
Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Roma U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Roma U19 Slovan Bratislava U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Slovan Bratislava U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 21:53:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: UEFA Youth League · 42 matches with scores · 41 with shots · coverage 97.6%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Roma U190 matches · 0 home / 0 away
Shot data available for 0/0 matches
Slovan Bratislava U196 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WLDLWL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
+1.012.7 actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 12.7 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
−3.96.3 actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 6.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
−0.15.5 actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 5.5 · league average 5.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
−1.63.3 actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 3.3 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
−0.331.50 actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 1.50 · league average 1.83 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
−4.0 pp11.8% actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 11.8% · league average 15.8% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Roma U19Home team
—Insufficient data
Slovan Bratislava U19Away team
+15.6 pp31.6% actual
Roma U19: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesSlovan Bratislava U19: 31.6% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Roma U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
Slovan Bratislava U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
14/10/2026Home1–010 / 83 / 3
10/10/2026Home1–224 / 69 / 2
06/10/2026Away1–17 / 72 / 2
19/09/2026Home2–311 / 65 / 5
13/09/2026Home3–023 / 513 / 2
09/09/2026Away1–61 / 61 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.