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Austria Amateur Cup · AT

SK Cro Vienna vs WAF Brigittenau

20 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Match Performance

Available recent match results are insufficient for a reliable comparison of form.

Away scoring averaged 1.33 goals per recent scored match against a weighted league reference of 2.19.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns an away win for WAF Brigittenau. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 45.3%, compared with 43.4% in the margin-adjusted Bet365 market assessment (a difference of +1.8 percentage points).

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.05 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.21. At this price, an away win for WAF Brigittenau does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
SK Cro Vienna
STOCHASTICBET 29.9%
BET365 31.8% odd 2.80
DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.8%
BET365 24.7% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
WAF Brigittenau
STOCHASTICBET 45.3%
BET365 43.4% odd 2.05
DIFFERENCE +1.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 20 Oct 2026 · 11:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: WAF Brigittenau

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
SK Cro Vienna WAF Brigittenau
Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours WAF Brigittenau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SK Cro Vienna WAF Brigittenau
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

SK Cro Vienna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SK Cro Vienna WAF Brigittenau

The combined recent performance profile favours WAF Brigittenau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-20 15:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +3.99 pp
DRAW — +0.68 pp
AWAY — -4.67 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Austria Amateur Cup · 36 matches with scores · 33 with shots · coverage 91.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SK Cro Vienna0 matches · 0 home / 0 away
Shot data available for 0/0 matches
WAF Brigittenau6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDLLWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
+0.111.0 actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 11.0 · league average 10.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
+0.812.6 actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 12.6 · league average 11.8 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
+0.45.4 actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 5.4 · league average 5.0 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
+0.56.2 actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 6.2 · league average 5.7 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
−0.861.33 actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 1.33 · league average 2.19 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
−4.2 pp14.6% actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 14.6% · league average 18.7% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK Cro ViennaHome team
—Insufficient data
WAF BrigittenauAway team
−9.6 pp11.1% actual
SK Cro Vienna: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesWAF Brigittenau: 11.1% · league average 20.7% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

SK Cro Vienna · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
WAF Brigittenau · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home4–011 / 55 / 2
09/10/2026Away1–15 / 144 / 5
04/10/2026Home0–114 / 146 / 7
26/09/2026Away0–4——
20/09/2026Home2–013 / 106 / 5
13/09/2026Away1–512 / 206 / 12

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.