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Kenya Premier League · KE

Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar FC

24 Oct 2026 · 14:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Ulinzi Stars

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ulinzi Stars Mara Sugar FC
Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Ulinzi Stars, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ulinzi Stars Mara Sugar FC
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ulinzi Stars Mara Sugar FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Kenya Premier League · 65 matches with scores · 53 with shots · coverage 81.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Ulinzi Stars6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLWWWL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Mara Sugar FC6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WDLDLW
Shot data available for 4/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
−0.48.8 actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
−2.86.8 actual
Ulinzi Stars: 8.8 · league average 9.2 · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 6.8 · league average 9.5 · 4 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
+1.510.2 actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
−0.48.0 actual
Ulinzi Stars: 10.2 · league average 8.7 · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 8.0 · league average 8.4 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
+0.43.6 actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
−0.92.5 actual
Ulinzi Stars: 3.6 · league average 3.2 · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 2.5 · league average 3.4 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
+0.73.8 actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
−0.52.5 actual
Ulinzi Stars: 3.8 · league average 3.1 · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 2.5 · league average 3.0 · 4 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
−0.061.00 actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
−0.101.00 actual
Ulinzi Stars: 1.00 · league average 1.06 · 6 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 1.00 · league average 1.10 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
−0.6 pp11.4% actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
+6.6 pp18.5% actual
Ulinzi Stars: 11.4% · league average 11.9% · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 18.5% · league average 11.9% · 4 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ulinzi StarsHome team
−0.1 pp11.8% actual
Mara Sugar FCAway team
+0.6 pp12.5% actual
Ulinzi Stars: 11.8% · league average 11.9% · 5 valid matchesMara Sugar FC: 12.5% · league average 11.9% · 4 valid matches

Individual match details

Ulinzi Stars · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away1–12 / 171 / 2
11/10/2026Home0–26 / 93 / 4
31/05/2026Away1–0——
27/05/2026Home2–014 / 37 / 1
23/05/2026Home2–114 / 54 / 2
13/05/2026Away0–28 / 173 / 10
Mara Sugar FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Home2–17 / 43 / 1
11/10/2026Away2–213 / 144 / 4
31/05/2026Away1–2——
27/05/2026Home0–0——
16/05/2026Home0–12 / 50 / 3
13/05/2026Home1–05 / 93 / 2

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.