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Oman League · OM

Al Seeb vs Sohar Club

23 Oct 2026 · 17:20
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Al Seeb. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced, although a smaller share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, the exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.39 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.50. At this price, a home win for Al Seeb does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Al Seeb
STOCHASTICBET 66.5%
PINNACLE 65.0% odd 1.39
DIFFERENCE +1.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.3%
PINNACLE 21.9% odd 4.13
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY
Sohar Club
STOCHASTICBET 12.1%
PINNACLE 13.1% odd 6.91
DIFFERENCE -1.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 13:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Al Seeb has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Seeb Sohar Club
Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Seeb Sohar Club
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Al Seeb has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Seeb Sohar Club

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Oman League · 67 matches with scores · 62 with shots · coverage 92.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Al Seeb6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LLWWLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Sohar Club6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLLDW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
+0.710.0 actual
Sohar ClubAway team
+0.19.8 actual
Al Seeb: 10.0 · league average 9.3 · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 9.8 · league average 9.7 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−0.19.7 actual
Sohar ClubAway team
+0.29.6 actual
Al Seeb: 9.7 · league average 9.8 · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 9.6 · league average 9.4 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−0.43.5 actual
Sohar ClubAway team
−0.83.4 actual
Al Seeb: 3.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 3.4 · league average 4.2 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−0.34.0 actual
Sohar ClubAway team
+1.15.0 actual
Al Seeb: 4.0 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 5.0 · league average 4.0 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−0.111.17 actual
Sohar ClubAway team
−0.640.67 actual
Al Seeb: 1.17 · league average 1.28 · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 0.67 · league average 1.31 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−2.4 pp11.7% actual
Sohar ClubAway team
−8.1 pp6.1% actual
Al Seeb: 11.7% · league average 14.1% · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 6.1% · league average 14.2% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Al SeebHome team
−2.2 pp12.1% actual
Sohar ClubAway team
+15.0 pp29.2% actual
Al Seeb: 12.1% · league average 14.3% · 6 valid matchesSohar Club: 29.2% · league average 14.1% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

Al Seeb · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–19 / 83 / 6
13/10/2026Home0–316 / 112 / 5
24/09/2026Away3–110 / 134 / 4
20/09/2026Home3–017 / 118 / 3
16/09/2026Away0–12 / 72 / 2
10/09/2026Away1–16 / 82 / 4
Sohar Club · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Home0–514 / 174 / 7
09/10/2026Away1–410 / 112 / 8
02/10/2026Away1–212 / 107 / 6
24/09/2026Home1–313 / 104 / 4
11/09/2026Home0–00 / 00 / 0
06/09/2026Away1–0——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.