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Guatemala Segunda Division · GT

Sansare FC vs Monjas FC

21 Oct 2026 · 23:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

A Recent Meeting and Recent Form

The teams met on 2 September 2026, when the current visitors won (0–3 from the upcoming home side’s perspective). The current home side recorded 11 shots (4 on target), compared with 16 (9 on target) for the visitors.

The visitors have lost their last 3 matches.

For the visitors, conversion was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (0.0% versus 18.4% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Across 6 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 10.0 shots per match and conceded 7 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 12.3 shots per match and conceded 7 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.50 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.33. The visitors averaged 1.50 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.33.

Model & Market Perspective

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a draw. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Across recent matches with recorded shooting data, Sansare FC averaged 10.0 shots per match and Monjas FC averaged 12.3. The shooting comparison does not provide strong additional support for this outcome.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.60 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.01. At this price, a draw does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Sansare FC
STOCHASTICBET 51.5%
BET365 51.7% odd 1.73
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
DRAW MODEL > MARKET
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.9%
BET365 24.8% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY
Monjas FC
STOCHASTICBET 23.5%
BET365 23.5% odd 3.80
DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 21 Oct 2026 · 12:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Monjas FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sansare FC Monjas FC
Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Monjas FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sansare FC Monjas FC
Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 8.3

Sansare FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sansare FC Monjas FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-21 20:13:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Guatemala Segunda Division · 66 matches with scores · 65 with shots · coverage 98.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Sansare FC6 matches · 1 home / 5 away
WLDLWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Monjas FC6 matches · 1 home / 5 away
LLLWWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
−0.910.0 actual
Monjas FCAway team
+1.412.3 actual
Sansare FC: 10.0 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 12.3 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
+0.813.0 actual
Monjas FCAway team
−0.112.2 actual
Sansare FC: 13.0 · league average 12.2 · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 12.2 · league average 12.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
+1.45.5 actual
Monjas FCAway team
+0.44.5 actual
Sansare FC: 5.5 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 4.5 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
+1.26.5 actual
Monjas FCAway team
+0.76.0 actual
Sansare FC: 6.5 · league average 5.3 · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 6.0 · league average 5.3 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
+0.171.50 actual
Monjas FCAway team
+0.171.50 actual
Sansare FC: 1.50 · league average 1.33 · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 1.50 · league average 1.33 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
+3.1 pp15.0% actual
Monjas FCAway team
+0.2 pp12.2% actual
Sansare FC: 15.0% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 12.2% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Sansare FCHome team
−5.5 pp9.0% actual
Monjas FCAway team
−4.9 pp9.6% actual
Sansare FC: 9.0% · league average 14.5% · 6 valid matchesMonjas FC: 9.6% · league average 14.5% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Sansare FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
28/09/2026Away3–05 / 63 / 1
13/09/2026Away0–112 / 166 / 10
05/09/2026Home1–18 / 114 / 4
02/09/2026Away0–311 / 164 / 9
23/08/2026Away2–118 / 1013 / 6
03/08/2026Away3–16 / 193 / 9
Monjas FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
11/10/2026Away0–215 / 286 / 19
07/10/2026Away0–110 / 112 / 5
07/09/2026Away1–28 / 104 / 5
02/09/2026Home3–016 / 119 / 4
30/08/2026Away3–211 / 94 / 3
16/08/2026Away2–014 / 42 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.