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Slovenia U19 League · SI

NK Bravo U19 vs Jadran Dekani U19

23 Oct 2026 · 16:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for NK Bravo U19. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive, although a smaller share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.29 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.40. At this price, a home win for NK Bravo U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
NK Bravo U19
STOCHASTICBET 71.3%
BET365 69.9% odd 1.29
DIFFERENCE +1.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 15.3%
BET365 16.3% odd 5.50
DIFFERENCE -1.0 pp
AWAY
Jadran Dekani U19
STOCHASTICBET 13.4%
BET365 13.8% odd 6.50
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 14:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: NK Bravo U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Bravo U19 Jadran Dekani U19
Shots 14.8 · On target 8.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Bravo U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Bravo U19 Jadran Dekani U19
Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Bravo U19 Jadran Dekani U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-23 14:53:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Slovenia U19 League · 89 matches with scores · 84 with shots · coverage 94.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

NK Bravo U196 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WLLDWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Jadran Dekani U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLDWDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
+4.916.3 actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−0.811.0 actual
NK Bravo U19: 16.3 · league average 11.4 · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 11.0 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
+0.512.7 actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−1.810.0 actual
NK Bravo U19: 12.7 · league average 12.2 · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 10.0 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
+3.28.7 actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−0.94.8 actual
NK Bravo U19: 8.7 · league average 5.5 · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 4.8 · league average 5.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
−1.54.3 actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−1.24.5 actual
NK Bravo U19: 4.3 · league average 5.9 · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 4.5 · league average 5.7 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
+1.102.83 actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−0.111.67 actual
NK Bravo U19: 2.83 · league average 1.73 · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 1.67 · league average 1.78 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
+2.2 pp17.4% actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
−0.0 pp15.2% actual
NK Bravo U19: 17.4% · league average 15.2% · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 15.2% · league average 15.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
NK Bravo U19Home team
−4.6 pp10.5% actual
Jadran Dekani U19Away team
+1.5 pp16.7% actual
NK Bravo U19: 10.5% · league average 15.2% · 6 valid matchesJadran Dekani U19: 16.7% · league average 15.2% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

NK Bravo U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
12/10/2026Home6–023 / 514 / 1
18/09/2026Away2–317 / 199 / 6
14/09/2026Away0–18 / 155 / 6
31/08/2026Away1–111 / 165 / 5
24/08/2026Home6–125 / 611 / 4
19/08/2026Away2–214 / 158 / 4
Jadran Dekani U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
12/10/2026Away1–28 / 133 / 5
18/09/2026Home0–48 / 83 / 6
14/09/2026Away2–214 / 155 / 6
07/09/2026Home4–013 / 58 / 0
30/08/2026Away1–115 / 127 / 6
24/08/2026Home2–18 / 73 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.