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Poland IV Liga · PL

Ruch Radzionkow vs MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice

23 Oct 2026 · 19:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.75 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.47. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Ruch Radzionkow
STOCHASTICBET 46.5%
BET365 52.2% odd 1.73
DIFFERENCE -5.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.6%
BET365 23.7% odd 3.80
DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice
STOCHASTICBET 28.8%
BET365 24.0% odd 3.75
DIFFERENCE +4.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 18:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ruch Radzionkow MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice
Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ruch Radzionkow MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice
Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.3

MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ruch Radzionkow MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice

The combined recent performance profile favours MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Poland IV Liga · 562 matches with scores · 546 with shots · coverage 97.2%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Ruch Radzionkow5 matches · 3 home / 2 away
LWDLW
Shot data available for 5/5 matches
MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice2 matches · 1 home / 1 away
WW
Shot data available for 2/2 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
−0.313.4 actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 13.4 · league average 13.7 · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
+2.816.0 actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 16.0 · league average 13.2 · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
−0.85.0 actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 5.0 · league average 5.8 · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
+0.96.4 actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 6.4 · league average 5.5 · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
−0.491.40 actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 1.40 · league average 1.89 · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
−3.2 pp10.5% actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 10.5% · league average 13.7% · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ruch RadzionkowHome team
−3.3 pp10.0% actual
MRKS Czechowice-DziedziceAway team
—Insufficient data
Ruch Radzionkow: 10.0% · league average 13.3% · 5 valid matchesMRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice: — · league average — · 2 valid matches

Individual match details

Ruch Radzionkow · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
12/09/2026Away0–113 / 125 / 5
26/08/2026Home1–018 / 195 / 10
14/08/2026Home1–115 / 145 / 3
06/06/2026Away0–45 / 201 / 8
16/05/2026Home5–216 / 159 / 6
MRKS Czechowice-Dziedzice · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
30/08/2026Away1–012 / 56 / 0
25/08/2026Home4–125 / 1712 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.