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Sierra Leone Premier League · SL

Bhantal FC vs Wusum Stars

23 Oct 2026 · 18:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Wusum Stars. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have struggled to obtain positive results. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Across the matches with available shooting data, their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 4.12 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 4.38. At this price, an away win for Wusum Stars does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Bhantal FC
STOCHASTICBET 44.5%
PINNACLE 45.7% odd 1.97
DIFFERENCE -1.2 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 32.7%
PINNACLE 32.5% odd 2.77
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Wusum Stars
STOCHASTICBET 22.8%
PINNACLE 21.8% odd 4.12
DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 17:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Wusum Stars has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bhantal FC Wusum Stars
Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bhantal FC Wusum Stars
Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Wusum Stars has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bhantal FC Wusum Stars

The combined recent performance profile favours Wusum Stars.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-23 17:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.63 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.51 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY -0.12 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Sierra Leone Premier League · 88 matches with scores · 61 with shots · coverage 69.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Bhantal FC6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DDLLLL
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Wusum Stars6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DWDLWL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−1.46.2 actual
Wusum StarsAway team
+0.48.2 actual
Bhantal FC: 6.2 · league average 7.6 · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 8.2 · league average 7.8 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−2.15.6 actual
Wusum StarsAway team
−2.05.5 actual
Bhantal FC: 5.6 · league average 7.7 · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 5.5 · league average 7.5 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−0.62.6 actual
Wusum StarsAway team
+0.53.7 actual
Bhantal FC: 2.6 · league average 3.2 · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 3.7 · league average 3.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−0.62.6 actual
Wusum StarsAway team
−0.92.3 actual
Bhantal FC: 2.6 · league average 3.2 · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 2.3 · league average 3.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−0.560.33 actual
Wusum StarsAway team
+0.201.17 actual
Bhantal FC: 0.33 · league average 0.89 · 6 valid matchesWusum Stars: 1.17 · league average 0.97 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
−7.3 pp6.5% actual
Wusum StarsAway team
+0.6 pp14.3% actual
Bhantal FC: 6.5% · league average 13.8% · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 14.3% · league average 13.7% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bhantal FCHome team
+11.3 pp25.0% actual
Wusum StarsAway team
+7.4 pp21.2% actual
Bhantal FC: 25.0% · league average 13.8% · 5 valid matchesWusum Stars: 21.2% · league average 13.8% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Bhantal FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–0——
06/07/2026Away0–06 / 42 / 0
27/06/2026Home1–28 / 55 / 4
18/06/2026Home0–210 / 63 / 5
13/06/2026Away0–14 / 81 / 2
27/05/2026Away1–23 / 52 / 2
Wusum Stars · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
14/10/2026Home1–19 / 22 / 1
06/07/2026Home2–14 / 33 / 2
27/06/2026Away0–06 / 114 / 2
13/06/2026Home0–111 / 26 / 1
27/05/2026Home2–15 / 32 / 2
24/05/2026Away2–314 / 125 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.