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Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · AR

Deportivo Laferrere vs Club Comunicaciones

24 Oct 2026 · 22:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Deportivo Laferrere. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.20 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.25. At this price, a home win for Deportivo Laferrere does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Deportivo Laferrere
STOCHASTICBET 44.4%
PINNACLE 41.7% odd 2.20
DIFFERENCE +2.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 31.9%
PINNACLE 32.4% odd 2.83
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY
Club Comunicaciones
STOCHASTICBET 23.7%
PINNACLE 26.0% odd 3.53
DIFFERENCE -2.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 18:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Laferrere

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Deportivo Laferrere Club Comunicaciones
Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Laferrere, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Deportivo Laferrere Club Comunicaciones
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Club Comunicaciones has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Deportivo Laferrere Club Comunicaciones

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Laferrere.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 20:53:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -3.35 pp
DRAW — -1.03 pp
AWAY — +4.38 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 308 matches with scores · 305 with shots · coverage 99.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Deportivo Laferrere6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDWLLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Club Comunicaciones6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DDDDWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
+4.412.7 actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−1.27.0 actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 12.7 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 7.0 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
−0.28.0 actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
+0.18.3 actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 8.0 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 8.3 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
+1.44.5 actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−0.62.5 actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 4.5 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 2.5 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
+0.23.3 actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−0.62.5 actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 3.3 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 2.5 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
+0.351.33 actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−0.150.83 actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 1.33 · league average 0.98 · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 0.83 · league average 0.98 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
−1.4 pp10.5% actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−0.0 pp11.9% actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 10.5% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 11.9% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Deportivo LaferrereHome team
+4.7 pp16.7% actual
Club ComunicacionesAway team
−5.9 pp6.0% actual
Deportivo Laferrere: 16.7% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesClub Comunicaciones: 6.0% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Deportivo Laferrere · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away2–119 / 118 / 6
10/10/2026Home1–117 / 57 / 2
03/10/2026Away2–17 / 113 / 2
27/09/2026Home1–28 / 104 / 4
19/09/2026Away1–210 / 41 / 3
12/09/2026Home1–115 / 74 / 3
Club Comunicaciones · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home0–05 / 51 / 0
10/10/2026Away0–04 / 40 / 0
04/10/2026Home1–15 / 132 / 4
27/09/2026Away0–08 / 124 / 5
18/09/2026Home2–011 / 25 / 0
12/09/2026Away2–29 / 143 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.