Saudi Arabia Premier League Women · SA

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) vs Al-Ula FC (W)

23 Oct 2026 · 18:45

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Al Ittihad Jeddah (W). The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.63 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.85. At this price, a home win for Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W)

STOCHASTICBET 54.2%

PINNACLE 53.7% odd 1.63

DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 23.1%

PINNACLE 23.2% odd 3.76

DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp

AWAY

Al-Ula FC (W)

STOCHASTICBET 22.7%

PINNACLE 23.1% odd 3.77

DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 18:21

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Al-Ula FC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) Al-Ula FC (W)

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Al-Ula FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) Al-Ula FC (W)

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) Al-Ula FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data

RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.

Benchmark: Saudi Arabia Premier League Women · 5 matches with scores · 1 with shots · coverage 20.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

Al Ittihad Jeddah (W) · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against

Al-Ula FC (W) · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
25/09/2026	Away	1–3	—	—
17/09/2026	Away	4–0	19 / 8	13 / 5
12/09/2026	Home	0–1	—	—
30/04/2026	Away	1–2	6 / 24	4 / 13

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.