Senegal Ligue 2 · SN

NGB Niarry Tally vs Oslo FA

23 Oct 2026 · 18:30

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a draw. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.60 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.76. At this price, a draw does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365

HOME

NGB Niarry Tally

STOCHASTICBET 35.4%

BET365 34.5% odd 2.60

DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp

DRAW MODEL > MARKET

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 36.2%

BET365 34.5% odd 2.60

DIFFERENCE +1.7 pp

AWAY

Oslo FA

STOCHASTICBET 28.3%

BET365 31.0% odd 2.90

DIFFERENCE -2.6 pp

STOCHASTICBET

BET365 MARKET

Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 12:01

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Oslo FA

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NGB Niarry Tally Oslo FA

Shots 1.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Oslo FA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NGB Niarry Tally Oslo FA

Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

NGB Niarry Tally has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NGB Niarry Tally Oslo FA

The combined recent performance profile favours NGB Niarry Tally.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data

RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.

Benchmark: Senegal Ligue 2 · 24 matches with scores · 22 with shots · coverage 91.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

NGB Niarry Tally · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
27/04/2026	Home	2–0	6 / 3	5 / 1

Oslo FA · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
19/10/2026	Home	4–2	14 / 13	9 / 10
03/06/2026	Home	0–0	12 / 10	4 / 3
18/05/2026	Home	1–2	6 / 8	4 / 4
14/05/2026	Away	0–0	7 / 9	5 / 4
11/05/2026	Home	1–1	5 / 14	2 / 7
02/05/2026	Home	1–1	8 / 7	2 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.