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Costa Rica U20 League · CR

Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 vs Puntarenas U20

23 Oct 2026 · 18:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Municipal Perez Zeledon U20. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have struggled to obtain positive results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.60 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.71. At this price, a home win for Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20
STOCHASTICBET 58.4%
BET365 55.9% odd 1.60
DIFFERENCE +2.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.6%
BET365 22.3% odd 4.00
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
AWAY
Puntarenas U20
STOCHASTICBET 20.1%
BET365 21.8% odd 4.10
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 14:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Puntarenas U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 Puntarenas U20
Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 Puntarenas U20
Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 Puntarenas U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-23 17:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Costa Rica U20 League · 32 matches with scores · 31 with shots · coverage 96.9%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Municipal Perez Zeledon U206 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DLDDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Puntarenas U205 matches · 2 home / 3 away
WLWLL
Shot data available for 5/5 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
+0.18.3 actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
−0.27.6 actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 8.3 · league average 8.3 · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 7.6 · league average 7.8 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
−1.76.0 actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+2.510.6 actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 6.0 · league average 7.7 · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 10.6 · league average 8.1 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
−0.24.0 actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+0.44.4 actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 4.0 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 4.4 · league average 4.0 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
−0.33.7 actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+1.96.0 actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 3.7 · league average 4.0 · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 6.0 · league average 4.1 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
−0.521.17 actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+0.762.40 actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 1.17 · league average 1.69 · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 2.40 · league average 1.64 · 5 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
−6.8 pp14.0% actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+10.4 pp31.6% actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 14.0% · league average 20.8% · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 31.6% · league average 21.2% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20Home team
+9.3 pp30.6% actual
Puntarenas U20Away team
+13.0 pp34.0% actual
Municipal Perez Zeledon U20: 30.6% · league average 21.3% · 6 valid matchesPuntarenas U20: 34.0% · league average 20.9% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

Municipal Perez Zeledon U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
02/10/2026Home1–112 / 16 / 1
12/09/2026Home2–39 / 114 / 6
06/09/2026Away1–11 / 11 / 1
28/08/2026Home1–18 / 123 / 8
21/08/2026Away1–310 / 66 / 4
15/08/2026Home1–210 / 54 / 2
Puntarenas U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
11/10/2026Away4–312 / 125 / 4
04/09/2026Home2–39 / 36 / 3
21/08/2026Home3–16 / 104 / 6
15/08/2026Away1–65 / 174 / 9
25/07/2026Away2–56 / 113 / 8

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.