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Thailand Division 3 · TH

Futera United vs Pathum Thani University

24 Oct 2026 · 10:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Pathum Thani University. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.15 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.18. At this price, an away win for Pathum Thani University does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Futera United
STOCHASTICBET 26.8%
BET365 31.2% odd 2.88
DIFFERENCE -4.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 27.4%
BET365 27.2% odd 3.30
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Pathum Thani University
STOCHASTICBET 45.8%
BET365 41.7% odd 2.15
DIFFERENCE +4.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 21:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Pathum Thani University

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Futera United Pathum Thani University
Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Futera United Pathum Thani University
Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Pathum Thani University has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Futera United Pathum Thani University

The combined recent performance profile favours Pathum Thani University.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 09:03:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Thailand Division 3 · 136 matches with scores · 131 with shots · coverage 96.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Futera United6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LWLWDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Pathum Thani University6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWDLLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
−1.29.2 actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−2.87.3 actual
Futera United: 9.2 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 7.3 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
+2.012.2 actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−4.46.0 actual
Futera United: 12.2 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 6.0 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
−0.14.2 actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−1.72.5 actual
Futera United: 4.2 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 2.5 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
+1.86.0 actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−0.83.5 actual
Futera United: 6.0 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 3.5 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
−0.291.17 actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−0.830.50 actual
Futera United: 1.17 · league average 1.46 · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 0.50 · league average 1.33 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
−1.5 pp12.7% actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
−6.4 pp6.8% actual
Futera United: 12.7% · league average 14.3% · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 6.8% · league average 13.3% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Futera UnitedHome team
−2.3 pp11.0% actual
Pathum Thani UniversityAway team
+5.2 pp19.4% actual
Futera United: 11.0% · league average 13.3% · 6 valid matchesPathum Thani University: 19.4% · league average 14.3% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Futera United · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away0–26 / 201 / 12
11/10/2026Home2–010 / 135 / 6
22/09/2026Home1–48 / 144 / 9
19/09/2026Away2–15 / 53 / 2
13/09/2026Home1–112 / 127 / 7
06/09/2026Home1–014 / 95 / 0
Pathum Thani University · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home1–119 / 96 / 3
10/10/2026Away1–01 / 01 / 0
19/09/2026Home1–17 / 43 / 4
05/09/2026Away0–24 / 71 / 4
12/06/2026Away0–313 / 164 / 10
09/06/2026Away0–00 / 00 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.