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Thailand Division 3 · TH

North Bangkok University vs Prime Bangkok

24 Oct 2026 · 10:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Prime Bangkok. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Attacking returns have been concentrated in a limited number of matches. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.63 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.68. At this price, an away win for Prime Bangkok does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
North Bangkok University
STOCHASTICBET 35.9%
BET365 39.7% odd 2.25
DIFFERENCE -3.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.7%
BET365 26.3% odd 3.40
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Prime Bangkok
STOCHASTICBET 37.4%
BET365 34.0% odd 2.63
DIFFERENCE +3.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 08:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Prime Bangkok has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
North Bangkok University Prime Bangkok
Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Prime Bangkok, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
North Bangkok University Prime Bangkok
Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Prime Bangkok has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
North Bangkok University Prime Bangkok

The combined recent performance profile favours Prime Bangkok.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 09:13:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Thailand Division 3 · 136 matches with scores · 131 with shots · coverage 96.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

North Bangkok University6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DWWDDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Prime Bangkok6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
+1.311.7 actual
Prime BangkokAway team
+0.911.2 actual
North Bangkok University: 11.7 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 11.2 · league average 10.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
−0.89.3 actual
Prime BangkokAway team
−2.47.8 actual
North Bangkok University: 9.3 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 7.8 · league average 10.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
+1.25.5 actual
Prime BangkokAway team
+1.45.7 actual
North Bangkok University: 5.5 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 5.7 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
−0.04.2 actual
Prime BangkokAway team
−0.14.2 actual
North Bangkok University: 4.2 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 4.2 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
+0.371.83 actual
Prime BangkokAway team
−0.071.33 actual
North Bangkok University: 1.83 · league average 1.46 · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 1.33 · league average 1.40 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
+1.5 pp15.7% actual
Prime BangkokAway team
−1.8 pp11.9% actual
North Bangkok University: 15.7% · league average 14.3% · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 11.9% · league average 13.8% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
North Bangkok UniversityHome team
−7.9 pp5.4% actual
Prime BangkokAway team
+3.3 pp17.0% actual
North Bangkok University: 5.4% · league average 13.3% · 6 valid matchesPrime Bangkok: 17.0% · league average 13.8% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

North Bangkok University · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–07 / 93 / 3
11/10/2026Home2–114 / 156 / 7
04/10/2026Away6–115 / 148 / 4
01/08/2026Home0–010 / 104 / 6
12/06/2026Home0–00 / 00 / 0
09/06/2026Home3–124 / 812 / 5
Prime Bangkok · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home2–020 / 612 / 1
10/10/2026Away1–213 / 75 / 3
03/10/2026Home2–09 / 53 / 2
22/09/2026Away2–212 / 117 / 6
19/09/2026Away0–26 / 92 / 6
03/08/2026Home1–27 / 95 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.