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Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · AR

CA Ituzaingo vs CSD Flandria

24 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for CSD Flandria. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have struggled to obtain positive results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.61 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.62. At this price, an away win for CSD Flandria does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
CA Ituzaingo
STOCHASTICBET 13.8%
PINNACLE 16.7% odd 5.50
DIFFERENCE -2.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.7%
PINNACLE 26.3% odd 3.48
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
CSD Flandria
STOCHASTICBET 61.6%
PINNACLE 57.0% odd 1.61
DIFFERENCE +4.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 18:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

CSD Flandria has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
CA Ituzaingo CSD Flandria
Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CSD Flandria, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CA Ituzaingo CSD Flandria
Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

CSD Flandria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CA Ituzaingo CSD Flandria

The combined recent performance profile favours CSD Flandria.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 308 matches with scores · 305 with shots · coverage 99.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

CA Ituzaingo6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DDLLLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
CSD Flandria6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWDLLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
−2.45.8 actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
+2.410.7 actual
CA Ituzaingo: 5.8 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 10.7 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
−0.97.3 actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
−3.25.0 actual
CA Ituzaingo: 7.3 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 5.0 · league average 8.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
−0.62.5 actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
+0.23.3 actual
CA Ituzaingo: 2.5 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 3.3 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
+0.73.8 actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
−0.52.7 actual
CA Ituzaingo: 3.8 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 2.7 · league average 3.1 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
+0.191.17 actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
+0.191.17 actual
CA Ituzaingo: 1.17 · league average 0.98 · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 1.17 · league average 0.98 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
+8.1 pp20.0% actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
−1.0 pp10.9% actual
CA Ituzaingo: 20.0% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 10.9% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CA ItuzaingoHome team
+13.1 pp25.0% actual
CSD FlandriaAway team
+8.1 pp20.0% actual
CA Ituzaingo: 25.0% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesCSD Flandria: 20.0% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

CA Ituzaingo · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–06 / 81 / 4
10/10/2026Home2–27 / 113 / 4
05/10/2026Away2–32 / 32 / 3
26/09/2026Home0–10 / 10 / 1
19/09/2026Away1–36 / 123 / 8
12/09/2026Home2–214 / 96 / 3
CSD Flandria · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–014 / 64 / 2
10/10/2026Home1–07 / 22 / 0
04/10/2026Away1–113 / 54 / 2
28/09/2026Home1–216 / 75 / 5
20/09/2026Away1–28 / 42 / 3
13/09/2026Home2–16 / 63 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.