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Indonesia U20 League · ID

Borneo FC U20 vs PSIM Yogyakarta U20

24 Oct 2026 · 08:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Borneo FC U20. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.33 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.39. At this price, a home win for Borneo FC U20 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Borneo FC U20
STOCHASTICBET 72.0%
BET365 67.2% odd 1.33
DIFFERENCE +4.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 15.9%
BET365 17.9% odd 5.00
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
AWAY
PSIM Yogyakarta U20
STOCHASTICBET 12.1%
BET365 14.9% odd 6.00
DIFFERENCE -2.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 05:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Borneo FC U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Borneo FC U20 PSIM Yogyakarta U20
Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Borneo FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Borneo FC U20 PSIM Yogyakarta U20
Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

PSIM Yogyakarta U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Borneo FC U20 PSIM Yogyakarta U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Borneo FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Indonesia U20 League · 39 matches with scores · 38 with shots · coverage 97.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Borneo FC U205 matches · 1 home / 4 away
WWLWW
Shot data available for 5/5 matches
PSIM Yogyakarta U203 matches · 2 home / 1 away
DWD
Shot data available for 3/3 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
+4.414.2 actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−3.76.7 actual
Borneo FC U20: 14.2 · league average 9.8 · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 6.7 · league average 10.3 · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
−2.58.0 actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−4.06.0 actual
Borneo FC U20: 8.0 · league average 10.5 · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 6.0 · league average 10.0 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
+2.76.6 actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−2.32.0 actual
Borneo FC U20: 6.6 · league average 3.9 · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 2.0 · league average 4.3 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
−0.24.2 actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−2.02.0 actual
Borneo FC U20: 4.2 · league average 4.4 · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 2.0 · league average 4.0 · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
+1.402.80 actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−0.391.00 actual
Borneo FC U20: 2.80 · league average 1.40 · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 1.00 · league average 1.39 · 3 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
+5.2 pp19.7% actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
+1.5 pp15.0% actual
Borneo FC U20: 19.7% · league average 14.6% · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 15.0% · league average 13.5% · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Borneo FC U20Home team
+1.8 pp15.0% actual
PSIM Yogyakarta U20Away team
−3.1 pp11.1% actual
Borneo FC U20: 15.0% · league average 13.2% · 5 valid matchesPSIM Yogyakarta U20: 11.1% · league average 14.2% · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Borneo FC U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home3–111 / 58 / 3
11/10/2026Away4–014 / 46 / 2
10/10/2026Away2–423 / 810 / 5
03/05/2026Away3–115 / 105 / 4
02/05/2026Away2–08 / 134 / 7
PSIM Yogyakarta U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
10/10/2026Away1–16 / 103 / 2
03/05/2026Home2–15 / 73 / 4
02/05/2026Home0–09 / 10 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.