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Japan L2 League Women · JP

Kibi University (W) vs SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

25 Oct 2026 · 05:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Kibi University (W). The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced, although a smaller share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.24 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.36. At this price, a home win for Kibi University (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Kibi University (W)
STOCHASTICBET 73.5%
PINNACLE 71.4% odd 1.24
DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 15.4%
PINNACLE 16.1% odd 5.49
DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp
AWAY
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
STOCHASTICBET 11.1%
PINNACLE 12.5% odd 7.05
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 02:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Kibi University (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kibi University (W) SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Kibi University (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kibi University (W) SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kibi University (W) SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Japan L2 League Women · 69 matches with scores · 69 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Kibi University (W)6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWWWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LDLLDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+1.213.0 actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−0.011.8 actual
Kibi University (W): 13.0 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 11.8 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+0.712.5 actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
+0.512.3 actual
Kibi University (W): 12.5 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 12.3 · league average 11.8 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+1.86.7 actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−0.14.8 actual
Kibi University (W): 6.7 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 4.8 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+0.15.0 actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−0.94.0 actual
Kibi University (W): 5.0 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 4.0 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+2.583.83 actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−0.420.83 actual
Kibi University (W): 3.83 · league average 1.25 · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 0.83 · league average 1.25 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
+18.9 pp29.5% actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−3.6 pp7.0% actual
Kibi University (W): 29.5% · league average 10.6% · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 7.0% · league average 10.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Kibi University (W)Home team
−5.3 pp5.3% actual
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)Away team
−1.1 pp9.5% actual
Kibi University (W): 5.3% · league average 10.6% · 6 valid matchesSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W): 9.5% · league average 10.6% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Kibi University (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away8–220 / 158 / 9
06/09/2026Home2–012 / 46 / 0
30/08/2026Away4–09 / 124 / 4
28/06/2026Home3–010 / 146 / 4
21/06/2026Home3–214 / 199 / 10
14/06/2026Away3–013 / 117 / 3
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home0–118 / 216 / 6
03/10/2026Home0–014 / 96 / 4
26/09/2026Away0–25 / 183 / 5
06/09/2026Home0–14 / 72 / 2
29/08/2026Away1–124 / 108 / 4
28/06/2026Away4–26 / 94 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.