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Algeria Division 2 · DZ

MO Bejaia vs IRB Nezla

10 Nov 2026 · 15:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for MO Bejaia. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.48 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.58. At this price, a home win for MO Bejaia does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
MO Bejaia
STOCHASTICBET 63.2%
BET365 61.1% odd 1.48
DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.9%
BET365 24.4% odd 3.70
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY
IRB Nezla
STOCHASTICBET 12.9%
BET365 14.5% odd 6.25
DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 14:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

MO Bejaia has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
MO Bejaia IRB Nezla
Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours MO Bejaia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
MO Bejaia IRB Nezla
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0

MO Bejaia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
MO Bejaia IRB Nezla

The combined recent performance profile favours MO Bejaia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-10 01:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.