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Mexico Liga TDP · MX

Diablos Tesistán FC vs Castores Gobrantacto

25 Oct 2026 · 19:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Castores Gobrantacto. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 21.00 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 18.74. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for Castores Gobrantacto, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Diablos Tesistán FC
STOCHASTICBET 86.3%
BET365 87.0% odd 1.08
DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 8.4%
BET365 8.6% odd 11.00
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Castores Gobrantacto
STOCHASTICBET 5.3%
BET365 4.5% odd 21.00
DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 18:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Diablos Tesistán FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Diablos Tesistán FC Castores Gobrantacto
Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Diablos Tesistán FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Diablos Tesistán FC Castores Gobrantacto
Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.0

Castores Gobrantacto has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Diablos Tesistán FC Castores Gobrantacto

The combined recent performance profile favours Castores Gobrantacto.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-25 18:03:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Mexico Liga TDP · 169 matches with scores · 165 with shots · coverage 97.6%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Diablos Tesistán FC0 matches · 0 home / 0 away
Shot data available for 0/0 matches
Castores Gobrantacto0 matches · 0 home / 0 away
Shot data available for 0/0 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Diablos Tesistán FCHome team
—Insufficient data
Castores GobrantactoAway team
—Insufficient data
Diablos Tesistán FC: — · league average — · 0 valid matchesCastores Gobrantacto: — · league average — · 0 valid matches

Individual match details

Diablos Tesistán FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
Castores Gobrantacto · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.