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Sierra Leone Premier League · SL

Bo Rangers FC vs BAI Bureh Warriors

25 Oct 2026 · 18:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Bo Rangers FC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.10 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.25. At this price, a home win for Bo Rangers FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Bo Rangers FC
STOCHASTICBET 44.5%
BET365 42.3% odd 2.10
DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 33.1%
BET365 32.3% odd 2.75
DIFFERENCE +0.8 pp
AWAY
BAI Bureh Warriors
STOCHASTICBET 22.4%
BET365 25.4% odd 3.50
DIFFERENCE -3.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 17:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bo Rangers FC BAI Bureh Warriors
Shots 9.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bo Rangers FC BAI Bureh Warriors
Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bo Rangers FC BAI Bureh Warriors

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Sierra Leone Premier League · 87 matches with scores · 59 with shots · coverage 67.8%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Bo Rangers FC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWWDW
Shot data available for 3/6 matches
BAI Bureh Warriors6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWDWDW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
−1.26.3 actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−2.45.2 actual
Bo Rangers FC: 6.3 · league average 7.5 · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 5.2 · league average 7.6 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
−2.15.7 actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−2.15.6 actual
Bo Rangers FC: 5.7 · league average 7.8 · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 5.6 · league average 7.7 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
−1.51.7 actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−1.22.0 actual
Bo Rangers FC: 1.7 · league average 3.2 · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 2.0 · league average 3.2 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
−0.23.0 actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−1.61.6 actual
Bo Rangers FC: 3.0 · league average 3.2 · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 1.6 · league average 3.2 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
+0.201.17 actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−0.300.67 actual
Bo Rangers FC: 1.17 · league average 0.97 · 6 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 0.67 · league average 0.97 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
+7.0 pp21.1% actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
+1.3 pp15.4% actual
Bo Rangers FC: 21.1% · league average 14.0% · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 15.4% · league average 14.1% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bo Rangers FCHome team
+3.5 pp17.7% actual
BAI Bureh WarriorsAway team
−14.1 pp0.0% actual
Bo Rangers FC: 17.7% · league average 14.1% · 3 valid matchesBAI Bureh Warriors: 0.0% · league average 14.1% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

Bo Rangers FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
11/10/2026Home2–1——
09/07/2026Away0–26 / 81 / 5
28/06/2026Home1–0——
13/06/2026Away2–113 / 94 / 4
29/05/2026Away0–0——
24/05/2026Home2–00 / 00 / 0
BAI Bureh Warriors · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home0–0——
07/07/2026Away2–06 / 93 / 3
27/06/2026Home0–011 / 62 / 4
14/06/2026Away1–06 / 73 / 1
31/05/2026Away0–03 / 62 / 0
24/05/2026Home1–00 / 00 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.