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Suriname Major League · SR

SV Leo Victor vs Robin Hood FC

25 Oct 2026 · 20:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for SV Leo Victor. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 4.00 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.95. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for SV Leo Victor, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
SV Leo Victor
STOCHASTICBET 25.3%
BET365 22.3% odd 4.00
DIFFERENCE +3.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.4%
BET365 23.5% odd 3.80
DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp
AWAY
Robin Hood FC
STOCHASTICBET 50.3%
BET365 54.2% odd 1.65
DIFFERENCE -3.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 20:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Robin Hood FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
SV Leo Victor Robin Hood FC
Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Robin Hood FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SV Leo Victor Robin Hood FC
Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0

SV Leo Victor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SV Leo Victor Robin Hood FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Suriname Major League · 26 matches with scores · 23 with shots · coverage 88.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SV Leo Victor6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWLDWW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Robin Hood FC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWLWLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
+0.451.67 actual
Robin Hood FCAway team
+1.312.67 actual
SV Leo Victor: 1.67 · league average 1.22 · 6 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: 2.67 · league average 1.36 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SV Leo VictorHome team
—Insufficient data
Robin Hood FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SV Leo Victor: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesRobin Hood FC: — · league average — · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

SV Leo Victor · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
15/10/2026Home0–06 / 32 / 1
11/10/2026Home4–012 / 16 / 0
11/06/2026Away1–46 / 72 / 5
07/06/2026Away0–07 / 42 / 0
24/05/2026Away4–2——
22/05/2026Away1–010 / 02 / 0
Robin Hood FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Home3–011 / 44 / 2
12/10/2026Home5–116 / 36 / 1
31/07/2026Away1–39 / 114 / 8
28/07/2026Away4–0——
06/06/2026Home0–13 / 31 / 1
21/05/2026Away3–07 / 83 / 1

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.