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Iraq Premier League · IQ

Al-Hudood SC vs Al-Jaish SC

26 Oct 2026 · 12:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Al-Jaish SC. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.90 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.92. At this price, an away win for Al-Jaish SC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Al-Hudood SC
STOCHASTICBET 33.7%
BET365 38.7% odd 2.30
DIFFERENCE -4.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 32.1%
BET365 30.7% odd 2.90
DIFFERENCE +1.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Al-Jaish SC
STOCHASTICBET 34.2%
BET365 30.7% odd 2.90
DIFFERENCE +3.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 26 Oct 2026 · 03:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Al-Jaish SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al-Hudood SC Al-Jaish SC
Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Al-Hudood SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al-Hudood SC Al-Jaish SC
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Al-Jaish SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al-Hudood SC Al-Jaish SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Jaish SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-26 04:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.