← Match Center
Iraq Premier League · IQ

Kadhimiya SC vs Al Nasiriyah

26 Oct 2026 · 12:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Kadhimiya SC. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.25 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.30. At this price, a home win for Kadhimiya SC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Kadhimiya SC
STOCHASTICBET 43.5%
BET365 39.9% odd 2.25
DIFFERENCE +3.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 31.7%
BET365 31.2% odd 2.88
DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp
AWAY
Al Nasiriyah
STOCHASTICBET 24.8%
BET365 28.9% odd 3.10
DIFFERENCE -4.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 26 Oct 2026 · 03:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output
Kadhimiya SC Al Nasiriyah
Shots 8.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Kadhimiya SC Al Nasiriyah
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Kadhimiya SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Kadhimiya SC Al Nasiriyah

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-26 04:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.