← Match Center
Czechia 5. Liga · CZ

FK Nestemice vs FK Klasterec nad Ohri

28 Oct 2026 · 10:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for FK Nestemice. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.10 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.28. At this price, a home win for FK Nestemice does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
FK Nestemice
STOCHASTICBET 43.8%
BET365 42.9% odd 2.10
DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.1%
BET365 22.5% odd 4.00
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY
FK Klasterec nad Ohri
STOCHASTICBET 34.1%
BET365 34.6% odd 2.60
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 08:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FK Klasterec nad Ohri

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Nestemice FK Klasterec nad Ohri
Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours FK Klasterec nad Ohri, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Nestemice FK Klasterec nad Ohri
Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 8.0

FK Nestemice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Nestemice FK Klasterec nad Ohri

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Czechia 5. Liga · 284 matches with scores · 274 with shots · coverage 96.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

FK Nestemice2 matches · 1 home / 1 away
LL
Shot data available for 2/2 matches
FK Klasterec nad Ohri4 matches · 2 home / 2 away
WLWW
Shot data available for 4/4 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+1.411.8 actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 11.8 · league average 10.4 · 4 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+0.911.3 actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 11.3 · league average 10.4 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+0.96.0 actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 6.0 · league average 5.1 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+2.98.0 actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 8.0 · league average 5.1 · 4 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+0.993.00 actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 3.00 · league average 2.01 · 4 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+5.9 pp25.5% actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 25.5% · league average 19.7% · 4 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK NestemiceHome team
—Insufficient data
FK Klasterec nad OhriAway team
+15.9 pp35.6% actual
FK Nestemice: — · league average — · 2 valid matchesFK Klasterec nad Ohri: 35.6% · league average 19.7% · 4 valid matches

Individual match details

FK Nestemice · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
13/06/2026Home2–49 / 94 / 5
06/06/2026Away2–312 / 133 / 3
FK Klasterec nad Ohri · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
20/09/2026Away3–114 / 75 / 2
12/08/2026Home1–107 / 222 / 16
01/08/2026Home4–314 / 1110 / 10
12/06/2026Away4–212 / 57 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.