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Myanmar U20 League · MM

Shan Utd U20 vs Yangon United FC U20

28 Oct 2026 · 10:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Yangon United FC U20. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.40 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.58. At this price, an away win for Yangon United FC U20 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Shan Utd U20
STOCHASTICBET 36.2%
BET365 37.5% odd 2.40
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 25.1%
BET365 25.0% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Yangon United FC U20
STOCHASTICBET 38.7%
BET365 37.5% odd 2.40
DIFFERENCE +1.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 13:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Yangon United FC U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Shan Utd U20 Yangon United FC U20
Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 27.3 · On target 14.5

Recent attacking output favours Yangon United FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Shan Utd U20 Yangon United FC U20
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.0

Shan Utd U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Shan Utd U20 Yangon United FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Myanmar U20 League · 136 matches with scores · 134 with shots · coverage 98.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Shan Utd U206 matches · 1 home / 5 away
WDDDWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Yangon United FC U206 matches · 5 home / 1 away
WDWWWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
+3.414.3 actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
+14.225.7 actual
Shan Utd U20: 14.3 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 25.7 · league average 11.5 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
−4.37.2 actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
−0.110.8 actual
Shan Utd U20: 7.2 · league average 11.5 · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 10.8 · league average 10.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
+1.36.5 actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
+7.613.3 actual
Shan Utd U20: 6.5 · league average 5.2 · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 13.3 · league average 5.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
−1.64.2 actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
+0.55.7 actual
Shan Utd U20: 4.2 · league average 5.7 · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 5.7 · league average 5.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
+0.271.83 actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
+1.953.83 actual
Shan Utd U20: 1.83 · league average 1.56 · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 3.83 · league average 1.88 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
−1.6 pp12.8% actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
−1.3 pp14.9% actual
Shan Utd U20: 12.8% · league average 14.4% · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 14.9% · league average 16.3% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Shan Utd U20Home team
−4.6 pp11.6% actual
Yangon United FC U20Away team
−5.2 pp9.2% actual
Shan Utd U20: 11.6% · league average 16.3% · 6 valid matchesYangon United FC U20: 9.2% · league average 14.4% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Shan Utd U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Away3–217 / 77 / 5
17/10/2026Away0–013 / 95 / 2
12/10/2026Away2–212 / 96 / 5
07/10/2026Away1–11 / 11 / 1
29/09/2026Away3–017 / 1010 / 8
22/09/2026Home2–026 / 710 / 4
Yangon United FC U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Home3–218 / 2013 / 11
06/10/2026Home1–120 / 711 / 4
30/09/2026Away5–134 / 712 / 3
24/09/2026Home8–037 / 1422 / 10
17/09/2026Home3–119 / 811 / 3
17/09/2026Home3–126 / 911 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.