Liberia First Division · LR

District 17 FC vs Discoveries SA

28 Oct 2026 · 13:30

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for District 17 FC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

The visitors have too few recent results available for a meaningful summary.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.60 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.71. At this price, a home win for District 17 FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365

HOME MODEL > MARKET

District 17 FC

STOCHASTICBET 36.9%

BET365 34.5% odd 2.60

DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 32.0%

BET365 31.0% odd 2.90

DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp

AWAY

Discoveries SA

STOCHASTICBET 31.1%

BET365 34.5% odd 2.60

DIFFERENCE -3.4 pp

STOCHASTICBET

BET365 MARKET

Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 16:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

District 17 FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

District 17 FC Discoveries SA

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours District 17 FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

District 17 FC Discoveries SA

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

District 17 FC Discoveries SA

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data

RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.

Benchmark: Liberia First Division · 15 matches with scores · 15 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

District 17 FC · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
01/05/2026	Away	1–2	8 / 3	3 / 3

Discoveries SA · individual matches

Date	Venue	Result	Shots for/against	On target for/against
25/10/2026	Home	1–2	22 / 7	7 / 3
19/08/2026	Away	0–0	5 / 6	1 / 3
15/08/2026	Home	1–4	2 / 7	1 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.